Choir practice in Washington state showed high COVID-19 attack rate
In a study yesterday in Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR), researchers describe a COVID-19 super-spreading event at a Washington state choir practice in March, which was attended by a symptomatic index patient and produced an attack rate of 53.3% to 86.7%.
The choir practice, conducted on Mar 10, lasted 2.5 hours and was attended by 61 people, 32 of were eventually confirmed to have COVID-19 and 20 of whom were probable secondary cases. Three patients were hospitalized, and two died. The index patient attended the practice with cold-like symptoms that had begun on Mar 7.
"The 2.5-hour singing practice provided several opportunities for droplet and fomite transmission, including members sitting close to one another, sharing snacks, and stacking chairs at the end of the practice," the authors, from Skagit County Public Health, said. "The act of singing, itself, might have contributed to transmission through emission of aerosols, which is affected by loudness of vocalization."
Over 75% of the confirmed cases were 65 and older, but most did not report underlying medical conditions. The authors said this super-spreading event highlights the need for physical distancing.
May 12 MMWR study
Rapid COVID-19 test shows low sensitivity in NY hospital study
A rapid coronavirus test that's being used in hospitals around the country, as well as in the White House, missed between a third and nearly a half of positive coronavirus samples at a New York City hospital, according to study published yesterday on the preprint server bioRxiv.
In the study, researchers from New York University (NYU) Langone Health and NYU Grossman School of Medicine evaluated the performance of the Abbott ID NOW COVID-19 assay—which can return results in as little as 5 to 13 minutes—against the Cepheid Xpert Xpress SARS-CoV-2 test, one of the two RT-PCR platforms used at NYU Langone Tisch Hospital to identify COVID-19 cases. The hospital was looking for a COVID-19 test that produces quicker results than the two tests, which take between 45 minutes and 3.5 hours to provide results.
Using nasopharyngeal samples transported in viral transport media (VTM) from patients with suspected COVID-19, the researchers found that the Abbott ID NOW test missed 5 of 15 positive results (33.3%) detected by the Cepheid Xpert Xpress test. When the researchers were told by Abbott that the assay performed best with dry nasal swabs obtained at the point of care, they then compared the results of dry nasal swabs tested in the Abbott ID NOW test with VTM samples from the same patients tested in the Cepheid Xpert Xpress test. But those results showed that the Abbott ID NOW test detected only 16 of 31 positive samples (51.6%) detected by the Cepheid Xpert Xpress, and the rest were falsely negative.
"Overall, our study revealed low sensitivity with high false negative results by Abbott ID NOW platform irrespective of use of viral transport media, which raises concern regarding the performance of the assay and its suitability as a diagnostic tool for symptomatic patients," the authors wrote. "The resolution could be to reflex all negative results for confirmation by a method with higher sensitivity. However, such [a] requirement would, except for positives, severely diminish the value of the rapid results of the assay."
The Food and Drug Administration issued an Emergency Use Authorization for the Abbott ID NOW test on Mar 27, and since then it has been shipped to all 50 states. The system is also used by the White House to test staff members.
May 12 bioRxiv study
GI symptoms part of early COVID-19 illness in kids
Nonrespiratory symptoms such as diarrhea can be the first symptoms of COVID-19 in children, according to a case series of five patients treated in a Wuhan hospital during China's epidemic. Researchers published their findings yesterday in Frontiers in Pediatrics.
The team described the clinical features of kids admitted to the hospital with nonrespiratory symptoms such as a kidney stone or head trauma who were then diagnosed with pneumonia on chest computed tomography and confirmed to have COVID-19.
Wenbin Li, MD, one of the study authors, said in a press release that it's easy to miss the diagnosis in the early stages of illness when the child has another illness. Four of five children in the case series had gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms as their first COVID manifestation. In kids with GI symptoms, especially those with fever and exposure to COVID-19, infection should be suspected, he said.
Li added that the GI symptoms may be related to the distribution of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptors—located in both the lungs and the intestines—that the virus uses to enter cells.
The authors wrote that though more research is needed to confirm the findings, they hope the clinical profile they identified helps doctors quickly diagnose and isolate young patients with similar early symptoms.
May 12 Front Pediatr abstract
May 12 Frontiers press release
Study: Tool can help identify COVID-19 patients likely to need critical care
Chinese doctors have developed a clinical risk score and calculator that may help predict which hospitalized COVID-19 patients will become critically ill or die, according to a retrospective cohort study published yesterday in JAMA Internal Medicine study.
Using medical records from a development cohort of 1,590 patients and a validation cohort of 710 patients from 575 hospitals across China as of Jan 31, the physicians, along with the National Health Commission of China, identified 10 independent predictors of critical illness to create the risk score and web-based risk calculator. Patients were considered critically ill if they required admission to the intensive care unit or mechanical ventilation.
The predictors included abnormal chest radiographic findings, advanced age, cough with bloody discharge, shortness of breath, unconsciousness, multiple underlying illnesses, history of cancer, high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, high levels of lactate dehydrogenase (indicating tissue damage), and high levels of direct bilirubin (indicating liver damage). The authors described the accuracy of the calculator as "satisfactory."
According to American Thoracic Society guidelines, 24 of 1,590 patients in the development cohort (1.5%) had severe illness at hospital admission, while the remainder (1,566 [98.5%]) had mild illness. Overall, 131 patients (8.2%) eventually became critically ill. The death rate was 3.2%. In the validation cohort, 87 of 710 patients (12.3%) eventually became critically ill, and 8 (1.1%) died.
Mean age in the development cohort was 48.9 years, and 904 of 1,590 patients (57.3%) were men. Mean age in the validation cohort was 48.2 years, and 382 of 710 patients (53.8%) were men.
"Early detection of patients who are likely to develop critical illness is of great importance and may aid in delivering proper care and optimizing use of limited resources," the authors wrote.
May 12 JAMA Intern Med study