
The World Health Organization (WHO) has updated its COVID-19 treatment guidelines, with revised risk categories and hospitalization estimates.
A group of international experts representing the WHO's Guideline Development Group today released its 13th update of these guidelines, which include a new "moderate risk" category for people previously considered to be high risk (ie, older people and those with chronic conditions, disabilities, or comorbidities of chronic disease).
A visual summary of the guidelines in BMJ was updated today.
"The current COVID-19 virus variants tend to cause less severe disease while immunity levels are higher due to vaccination, leading to lower risks of severe illness and death for most patients," the WHO said in a statement. "The updated risk estimates will assist healthcare professionals to identify individuals at high, moderate or low risk of hospital admission, and to tailor treatment according to WHO guidelines."
Lower treatment-benefit threshold
The revised risk categories and hospitalization estimates are:
- High risk: People with weakened immune systems remain at higher risk for severe COVID-19, with an estimated hospitalization rate of 6%.
- Moderate risk: People older than 65 years, those with chronic conditions such as obesity, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, kidney or liver disease, or cancer, and those with disabilities or comorbidities of chronic disease are at moderate risk, with an estimated hospitalization rate of 3%.
- Low risk: People who are not in the high- or moderate-risk categories are at low risk of hospitalization (0.5%). Most people fall into this category.
The WHO lowered its treatment-benefit threshold from a 6% to a 1.5% reduction in the risk of hospitalization. It continues to strongly recommend the antiviral nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (Paxlovid) for people at high or moderate risk of hospitalization. If Paxlovid is unavailable, molnupiravir or remdesivir should be used, but only in high-risk patients.
Antivirals aren't recommended for those at low risk, and the antiparasitic drug ivermectin and the new antiviral VV116 should be used only in clinical trials, the WHO said.